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The US Congress remains ownerless, but the end of the count is in favor of the Democrats



Advances in the vote recount in the US legislative elections paint an increasingly less bright outcome for Republicans, after projections at the end of the campaign pointed to a major victory with which they would regain a significant portion of power in the US Congress. A “red tide” (the color of the Republican Party in the United States), by which they would regain a majority in at least one chamber of both houses and which would slow Biden’s legislative agenda, was not produced. At this time, control of both houses of Congress, the House of Representatives and the Senate, is still suspended, but with a trend in the final count in favor of Democrats. Republicans are still the favorites to win the House of Representatives. But even if their leader in the House of Representatives, Kevin McCarty, declared on election night that his party would win a majority, that has yet to materialize. Even more troubling for Republicans: What seemed impossible to Democrats on election night – the House of Representatives meeting – now seems less impossible. Relevant news criteria if Trump advisers try to stop the announcement of his third presidential candidacy: “It’s Sam.” David Allendet openly supports several Republicans with rising stars such as Ron DeSantis, the re-elected Florida governor, requiring 218 of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives. to get the majority. Yesterday, Republicans led in 221 counties, with 214 districts where Democrats had an advantage. In the vast majority of those counties, the difference in counting is enough to tell a winner. According to media estimates, there are about twenty seats where the screening is very narrow. The advantage is for Republicans, but the window for Democrats to return in the final stage is opening more and more. Most of these areas are located in the western part of the country, in Nevada and Colorado, and above all in California. It will be necessary to find out whether its electoral dynamics are similar to those in New York and Florida, where Republicans have made significant advances, or the Midwest, where they have fared worse than expected. Bump Not winning the House would be a huge stumble for Republicans, in midterm elections – the so-called “mid-term elections” – which usually penalize the party with the president in power and which occur in context not so much. Favorable to Democrats, with Joe Biden’s unpopularity and persistent inflation. The Senate has always been hotly contested, but the end-of-count dynamics undoubtedly benefit Democrats. It all depends on what happens in the three states where there is still no clear winner: Arizona, Nevada and Georgia. The party that wins two of these three seats will control the Senate. In Georgia, a second round will be held on December 6 after none of the candidates received 50% of the vote, as required by state regulations. But it may not be necessary to wait until then to see who gets the Senate. In Arizona, Democrat and former astronaut Mark Kelly appears to have a clear advantage over “Trumpist” candidate Blake Masters (51%, 46%) and while the rest benefits Republicans, it doesn’t seem like enough for the count. One of the most prestigious election analysts in the United States, Dave Wasserman, gave Kelly the winner yesterday. In Nevada, Friday’s minimum edge was in favor of Republican Dam Laxalt (49%), versus Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto (48%), with just over 90% of the vote. But unlike what happened in Arizona, Democrats are expected to benefit from the rest of his narrative. Slow Count The reason for the slow count is that many states – including California, Arizona and Nevada – allow mail-in ballots to be counted as long as they are dated on Election Day. That is, votes can reach the counting centers several days after the election. When it comes to very tight elections, such as those that will determine the House and Senate, this lengthens the count until the ballot papers are counted. The recount rally unleashed tension in the Republican Party, with accusations intersecting about a worse-than-expected outcome. Yesterday, many lawmakers questioned continuity as leaders in their houses McCarthy and Mitch McConnell, so far the Republican minority leader in the Senate.

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