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After the retreat from Kherson



The situation in the theater seems to be slowing down. Although the Russian bombing of Ukrainian energy facilities and networks continues, attacks and counterattacks are taking place on various fronts, limited in scope, and which do not imply major changes. This is mainly the case in Svatov, Bakhmut and Gorlovka Donetsk regions. Moscow’s decision to withdraw troops from west of the Lower Dnieper to the other side of the river can be seen, both politically and imagery, as a major Russian fiasco. For the Kremlin it meant the loss of about 1,000 square kilometers, as well as the only capital of the oblast (province) that was occupied after the February 24 invasion. However, operational results are contradictory. On the other hand, by reducing the depth of the Crimean security ice zone by about 10 km, this peninsula is left in a more vulnerable position against Ukrainian air and artillery attacks. On the other hand, in the new situation, the Dnieper becomes – before an annoying obstacle behind us (especially for logistical support) – a formidable trench on which a strong defense can be supported, and without resolving the continuity, for a length of almost 300 km, between Cape Kinburn (Kherson Oblast) and Vasilivka ( Zaporizhia Oblast). Related News Russia is not bombing Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities with missiles after Zelensky entered the G-20 ABC standard. Application of the complementary principle of resource economy, with the consequent saving of Russian forces that could be kept in reserve, or deployed on other, more active fronts. Curiously, after nine months of hostilities, the combat front is aligned, at 40% of its extension, with the operational objective of Putin’s “special military operation”. The scenario that restores the value of the Dnieper (Zaporia-Dnipropetrovsk) facility as a potential canvas for the next major battles, is never ruled out. Either with a Russian initiative in the direction of Zaporizhia, or with a Ukrainian initiative towards Melitopol to try to divide the Russian corridor between Rostov-on-Don (Russia) and the mouth of the Dnieper River into two parts. It is good that American talks with China (in Bali), or with Russia (in Ankara), on the threshold of winter, can bear peaceful fruits, despite the apparent absolute contradiction of goals between Moscow and Kiev. About the author Pedro Petarc The author is a retired Army lieutenant. He was President of the Eurocorps and Ground Forces and Director General of Defense Policy in Zapatero’s government. He was the head of the Department of Strategy and Military Cooperation of the Defense General Staff, as well as the Logistics Department of the NATO Supreme Command.

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